When President Obama visits Israel this week, he will attempt neither to unmoor the old peace process nor outfit a new one. But with new leverage in hand, a determined Secretary of State John Kerry at the helm, and riding a wave of domestic and worldwide popularity, the president may never have stronger winds at his back in the search for Israeli-Palestinian peace. To take advantage of them, he will soon need to open his sails. If the president hopes to ever make any real headway, however, he should first rid his outlook of an old trope that has become an excuse for inaction: the idea that "The U.S. cannot want peace more than the parties themselves."
In recent years, this idea has been parroted so often that it's become known as the "Washington
consensus." In Israel and the occupied territories, this perception has helped lead to the status quo: periods
of relative (and
illusory) calm sandwiched between spasms of violence, with continued settlement construction creating facts on
the ground ever more hazardous to the prospect of a two-state solution. The truth is that the United States can
indeed want peace more than Israel and the Palestinians. In fact, to be successful, we have to.
We have to want peace more because Israeli and Palestinian leaders have made their preference for the status quo
abundantly clear. None appear ready to make tough decisions, take responsibility for painful sacrifices, or deal
with the inevitable backlash from extremists in their midst. Only the U.S. has sufficient credibility with both
sides to capably deploy pain, prodding, and promises of a better future to push both sides over the hump. But if we
don't want peace more than they do, the U.S. will be neither credible nor effective--much as we've been over the
past four years. We have to want peace more because achieving it will require an exceptional level of dedication.
This commitment would likely consume a significant portion of Obama's foreign policy agenda. But make no mistake:
Israeli-Palestinian peace is worth it.
Besides being necessary for Israel's security, peace is worth it because the U.S. is not free from the consequences
of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Don't take it from me--take the words of General James Mattis, Commander of
CENTCOM. In 2011, Mattis emphatically articulated the concept of
linkage between the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and U.S. interests. He described how the conflict is exploited by
our adversaries and used as a recruiting tool by extremist groups while alienating U.S. allies and marginalizing
moderates. In doing so, he was echoing the views of his successor, David Petraeus,
former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and former
Secretary of Defense Robert Gates.
Israeli-Palestinian peace would be far from a regional panacea. But confronting the myriad problems that plague the
region could be made demonstrably less difficult. A peace deal could radically redefine the Middle East in ways
that can only benefit the U.S. and Israel. Polls
have shown that Arabs in the Middle East consider the occupation to be the greatest threat to regional peace
and stability. In a 2011
Brookings Institution poll of Arab public opinion, 55% said that that an Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement
would improve their views of the U.S. more than anything else. Another Brookings study
found that "the Arab-Israeli issue remains the prism through which most Arabs view the world." Moreover, the
Wikileaks release of classified U.S. diplomatic cables in 2010 found Arab leaders
routinely asserting the primary importance of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. And even Israeli PM Benjamin
Netanyahu himself said that "it would help, obviously, unite a broad front against Iran if we had peace between
Israel and the Palestinians." The Gulf States, now tacitly
aligned with Israel against Iran, could make this alliance official and openly coordinated. Meanwhile,
Ahmadinejad and Khamenei may lose the rhetorical weapon of Palestinian suffering that they now wield so
capably and consistently. Indeed, the Arab Peace
Initiative, which offers full diplomatic relations with Israel on the part of most of the Arab and Muslim
world, would achieve both of these ends (but it won't be on the table
forever).
As Israel's staunchest and most important ally, the U.S. could reap many a reward from Israeli-Palestinian peace.
Our alliances in the Muslim and Arab worlds could be immensely strengthened and our global image thoroughly
enhanced. We would be unburdened by the crises, distractions, and political impediments perpetually unearthed by
the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In its absence, we could support Israel in a more focused way, our efforts
undiluted by tensions over settlement building and other points of contention arising from the conflict. In the
interest of the United States, Israel, and the Middle East in general, President Obama will have to want peace more
than his Israeli and Palestinian counterparts. Only this kind of intense desire for resolution can lead to the
dedicated effort that any realistic shot at success will require. If he can effectively generate and implement a
policy driven by such a desire, Obama will have a chance at making history. Otherwise, his legacy in the Middle
East will have been--to put it gently--found wanting.
This article first appeared March 19, 2013 on the Open
Zion blog